France

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France

Resilience Index β€” Country Analysis

πŸ“Š MONITORING

As of: January 2026 (monthly cadence; RIβ‚…β‚€ scale)

Current RI Score

Composite Resilience Index
36.8 / 50
Status Monitoring Trajectory ↓
Elevated stress signals; not activated

France remains operationally stable with strong core capacity, but policy volatility and social cohesion are the current drag. Monitoring status reflects rising friction cost, not a loss of baseline institutional function.

Dimensional Breakdown

Dimensional scores use the RI 0–10 scale. Trajectory arrows reflect directionality versus the prior update window.

Dimension Score (0–10) Trajectory
1. Institutional Resilience 7.9 β†’
2. Policy Volatility 6.2 ↓
3. Economic Shock Absorption 7.4 β†’
4. Social Cohesion 6.5 ↓
5. Information Environment 8.3 β†’
Institutional Resilience 7.9 β†’
Strong baseline predictability in core institutions; monitoring focuses on execution speed and administrative latency that can increase transaction friction for long-horizon operators.
Policy Volatility 6.2 ↓
Rising rule-change frequency and signaling noise increase pricing uncertainty in multi-year contracts, especially in regulated sectors and public-interface operations.
Economic Shock Absorption 7.4 β†’
Solid capacity to absorb shocks; the watch item is cost structure persistence (energy, labor, compliance) and how quickly it can be adjusted in stress scenarios.
Social Cohesion 6.5 ↓
Elevated probability of operational disruption (labor actions, service interruptions, localized unrest) increases schedule risk for logistics, infrastructure, and retail footprints.
Information Environment 8.3 β†’
High signal quality relative to peers; monitoring emphasizes policy communication clarity and the gap between stated intent and implementable timetables.

Primary Drivers

Business-facing stress factors (non-political)

  • Contracting friction: higher change-of-law risk in regulated areas; more frequent repricing and renegotiation clauses required.
  • Labor continuity risk: higher probability of strikes and service interruptions; add buffer time to critical-path schedules.
  • Cost persistence: energy and labor cost rigidity increases sensitivity to demand shocks; stress-test margins at lower volumes.
  • Administrative latency: permitting, procurement, and compliance timelines can extend under stress; plan for longer lead times.
  • Complexity premium: multi-site operators should expect higher compliance coordination and reporting overhead versus higher-RI peers.

Monitoring status does not imply fragility; it implies rising marginal cost of certainty for investors and operators.

About These Scores

France uses the same five-dimensional RI framework and geometric mean aggregation applied across all countries. Scores are updated monthly on a consistent cadence.

β†’ View complete mathematical methodology

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